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Gasoline Futures Rally Propels Crude Markets

Maritime Activity Reports, Inc.

July 27, 2017

U.S. shale drilling slowdown may be temporary.
 
Oil prices rose to an eight-week high on Thursday, as a rally in U.S. gasoline futures spurred further gains this week that came after key OPEC members pledged to reduce exports and the U.S. government reported a sharp decline in crude inventories.
 
U.S. gasoline futures were the biggest percentage gainer in the petroleum complex, up 1.6 percent to their highest since May 30.
 
"Today's buying rotation back to the front of the (gasoline) curve is a healthy sign that augers in favor of additional price gains," Jim Ritterbusch, president of Chicago-based energy advisory firm Ritterbusch & Associates, said in a note.
 
Benchmark Brent futures were up 50 cents, or 1 percent, at $51.47 a barrel by 12:54 p.m. EDT (1654 GMT). U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude was up 32 cents, or 0.7 percent, at $49.07.
 
During the session, both contracts traded at their highest since May 31. This put them in technically oversold territory near their 200-day moving averages, which traders called a point of technical resistance.
 
"Current bullish momentum is being driven by an array of supportive items that include a supportive outcome to last Monday's OPEC meeting" and continued declines in U.S. inventories, Ritterbusch said.
 
Marathon Petroleum Corp CEO Gary Heminger said the company processed a record 1.9 million barrels per day of crude oil at its seven U.S. refineries in the second quarter, fueled in part by robust refined product exports.
 
On Wednesday, the U.S. Energy Information Administration reported a 7.2 million barrel drop in U.S. inventories in the week to July 21, much more than the 2.6 million barrels forecast.
 
Saudi Arabia said this week it planned to limit crude exports to 6.6 million barrels per day (bpd) in August, about 1 million bpd below the level last year.
 
Kuwait and United Arab Emirates, fellow members of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, have also promised export cuts.
 
U.S. shale producers including Hess Corp, Anadarko Petroleum and Whiting Petroleum announced plans this week to cut spending this year.
 
Some analysts doubted whether shale drilling would slow for long.
 
"Recent evidence of a slowdown in U.S. upstream activity has been exaggerated and will if anything be transitory," Stephen Brennock at oil brokerage PVM said.
 
U.S. fuel exports are on track to hit another record in 2017.
 
Royal Dutch Shell, France's Total and Norway's Statoil reported sharp rises in cash flow from second quarter operations.
 
Profits for the three companies beat analyst expectations.
 
By Scott DiSavino

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