OMI's ratings had been placed on review for possible downgrade following
the announcement by the company of its proposed purchase of vessels from
Athenian Carriers Ltd. for approximately $585 million. At the time of
the announcement, Moody's was concerned about the increased levels of
debt associated with this acquisition and its effect on near term
liquidity, the timing and levels of shipyard payments related to the
acquired newbuilding commitments and the success of OMI's integration of
these vessels into its current fleet operations. Since then, Moody's has
monitored the progress of the acquisition and related financing, and has
assessed the company's financial strength relative to evolving tanker
market conditions. As the result, Moody's believes that the cash flows
that the acquired assets contribute to OMI's consolidated performance is
adequate to maintain the company's credit fundamentals over the near
term, especially considering the continued strong tanker charter rate
environment.
The ratings have a stable outlook, reflecting Moody's expectations of
continued smooth integration of Athenian's vessels, both existing tonnage
and newbuilding commitments, as well as other vessels in OMI's
newbuilding program into OMI's operations. These vessels are of a similar
technical and commercial nature to that of OMI's existing medium-size
crude oil and product tanker businesses. Considering the company's
history of successfully launching and operating new tonnage in the past,
Moody's believes that the number and class of vessels acquired poses
little integration risk. Moody's notes, however, the higher risk that is
associated with newbuilding commitments, due to long lead times to
delivery in a historically volatile sector. Ratings or their outlook may
be subject to downward revision if the company were to undertake
additional large, levered acquisitions, or if Suezmax charter rates were
to fall below $20,000/day (on average, fleet-wide) or if product carrier
rates fall below $15,000/day for a protracted period, such that the
company's ability to rapidly reduce debt incurred with this acquisition
were impaired. Conversely, ratings may be subject to upward revision if
the company were to repay substantial levels of debt, demonstrating the
ability to maintain leverage of under 3.5x debt/EBITDA even under softer
market conditions, after having taken delivery of all vessels in its
newbuilding program.
As a result of the acquisition, which closed July 2004, OMI paid a total
of $391 million to acquire five Suezmax and one product tanker, delivered
in July and August of 2004. To fund the purchase, the company incurred
$250 of debt by way of a bridge loan, which will be replaced by ship
mortgage debt secured by these vessels. The company will also make a
total of $192 million in progress payments towards seven newbuildings
that are associated with this acquisition. Total debt of $837 million as
of September 30 2004, which represents a 45% increase over June 2004
levels, represents leverage of 3.5x LTM EBITDA, which is somewhat low
for this rating category, and does not take into account full year
operations of acquired vessels for which debt has been raised. Interest
coverage is likewise strong, with LTM EBIT/interest of about 6.8x.
Moody's notes that the entire shipping industry, the tanker sector in
particular, is experiencing a historically-strong rates environment with
greater longevity than most market upturns. In addition, Moody's believes
the tanker market supply and demand fundamentals support expectations
that this strong market should continue at least through 2005.
However, Moody's is concerned about the potential affects that such
investments, made at the height of the tanker market cycle, could
potentially have on the company's credit fundamentals when market
conditions deteriorate in a cyclical downturn. As a result of the
company's vessel investment program, OMI's free cash flow has been
negative ($402 million) through the first nine months of 2004, and is
expected to be thin through 2005 as the company will make about $136
million in progress payments relating to all of OMI's newbuilding
commitments. The company expects to increase debt over the near term to
help fund these progress payments, which will hinder OMI's ability to
improve credit metrics, despite Moody's expectations for a continued
strong tanker rate environment through 2005. Moreover, as five of the 13
vessels on order (including orders placed by the company prior to the
Athenian acquisition) will not be delivered until 2006, OMI bears
considerable risk that the historically-volatile tanker markets will
soften at about the time these vessels are delivered, reducing the return
on investment provided by these vessels and, considering incremental
debt that will be borne with these deliveries, possibly weakening credit
fundamentals.
The ratings continue to reflect the company's historical record of free
cash generation which should result in debt reduction once the
newbuilding program is completed and an increasing market position that
OMI will hold in the Suezmax and product tanker sectors during an
extended strong tanker market. The latest acquisition further increases
OMI's asset base, about $1.7 billion as of September 2004 (approximately
$1.5 billion of fixed assets alone, mostly vessels), suggesting
substantial coverage to all debt, including the $200 million of senior
unsecured notes.
OMI Corporation, a Marshall Islands incorporated company, is
headquartered in Stamford, CT. Through its subsidiaries, the company is a
leading seaborne transporter of crude oil and refined petroleum products.
The company fleet comprises Suezmax tankers (crude sector) and product
carriers, operating 41 vessels totaling 3.5 million DWT with 13
newbuildings on order. For LTM September 2004, the company had revenues
of $437 million.