For Ferries, Commercial Light at End of Regulatory Tunnel

October 16, 2014

Coastal Inspiration (Photo courtesy of BC Ferries)
Coastal Inspiration (Photo courtesy of BC Ferries)

A review of the ferry industry’s latest challenges and opportunities attracted a record 340 delegates to Vancouver last week for the 39th annual Interferry conference.

The global trade association event exposed a string of concerns – notably over punitive safety and environmental regulations – but also highlighted the financial potential of new routes, onboard shopping incentives and the use of LNG fuel.

Alongside sessions on the future of the industry, Canada-based CEO Len Roueche outlined a vision for maintaining Interferry’s influential lobbying role among politicians and regulators. The association opened an office in Brussels in 2012 to cover IMO and European Union affairs. Funding for the start-up and operating costs for the first three years was provided by 11 major Interferry operators. From 2015 funding responsibility will be assumed by Interferry.

Roueche proposed a new sliding fees structure based on membership category and the relative benefits obtained from the regulatory work of the Brussels office. He revealed that 13 members had already committed to the highest fee levels, representing more than 70% of the extra costs from 2015 – leaving some $120,000 to be found among the rest of the current 233-strong membership. Inviting feedback on the proposal over the coming months, he concluded: “This is a huge turning point for the organization in ensuring that we remain a strong voice for the industry.”

Safety: the never-ending journey
Interferry chairman Mike Grainger, managing director of Liferaft Systems Australia, recalled that it was 20 years to the week since the Baltic ferry Estonia sank with the loss of 852 lives.

“There is no doubt that as a result of this tragedy, lessons have been learnt and new regulations have been implemented,” he noted. “International ferry services have an excellent safety record since Estonia. However, as an industry we recognize that safety is a constant journey, not a destination, and there is always much more work to be done in terms of safety and safety management.”

Grainger stressed that this applied not only on international services but particularly on domestic routes and in developing countries, where the vast majority of casualties occurred.

“In times of distress, we are reminded of the ongoing need to minimize the vulnerability of vessels at sea,” he continued. “Interferry is obligated to continue to assist in the development of new and improved regulations. We understand that from time to time our members will be frustrated by bureaucratic processes. However, with proper intent, governance and our support, the industry will continue to move forward at all levels in promoting the safety of lives at sea.”

Regulations: a fit for purpose approach to safety & the environment

The worldwide ferry industry – with annual carryings of 2.2 billion passengers, 258 million cars and 40 million trailers – was described as indispensable and essentially safe by special guest speaker Jeff Lantz, the U.S. Coast Guard director responsible for safety and environmental regulations and chairman of the IMO Council.

“The sad truth however is that 9,000 have perished this century, an average of 650 per year that I suspect is under-reported,” he went on. “The majority of accidents occur on domestic services not subject to international standards and, by and large, in developing countries with competency and capacity issues.” Interferry had an important role in assisting the IMO to improve safety in these countries through initiatives such as a major conference set to take place in the Philippines next April.

As for international regulations, Lantz said the IMO was changing focus from the principle that a ship is its own best lifeboat. “This was re-examined after Costa Concordia – I call it a second Titanic moment – because the ship had to be abandoned,” he explained. This reinforced what we know – there is no unsinkable ship.”

As a result, in addition to design studies to enhance the survivability of larger ships, the IMO had introduced recommendations and mandatory requirements on damage stability and emergency response training, evacuation analysis and passenger awareness of emergency procedures. Future considerations would include the design and arrangement of central systems and a review of search and rescue plans.

Lantz acknowledged criticism of the IMO for not considering the cost to operators of complying with regulations. "One of the weaknesses is that IMO does not require cost benefit analysis of proposed regulations," he admitted. "I think the regulatory environment does unduly penalize the good operators – it’s costing them – but unfortunately not everyone is good.”

Interferry executive director of EU and IMO affairs Johan Roos emphasized, “We’re happy to be engaged in regulations because we don’t want to wait for the next accident – but what we see is that one size doesn't fit all. The challenge for ferries is quite different to cruise vessels or trans-ocean operations - 95% of IMO regulations are written for that.”

Roos called for an update of the ISM code – a move supported by Lantz – when questioning the IMO’s traditional tendency to concentrate on technical aspects. “Why don’t we have collision-proof aircraft?” he asked. “Because aviation safety is operationally-based...yet we are still trying to build the unsinkable ship. It always comes back to more steel.”

Interferry had shown that, if involved early in the regulatory process, it could ensure regulations were adapted to fit the ferry industry’s specific needs, said Roos, citing the imminent ballast water management convention among environmental measures that were inappropriate to short sea shipping. “You may end up in a situation where you have a three mile crossing between Denmark and Sweden and have to invest half a million Euros on equipment to kill off organisms in the same water,” he said.

Brittany Ferries deputy managing director Christophe Mathieu protested that the decision to enforce low-sulphur rules in Emission Control Areas (ECA) from next January was made without regard to their impact on the industry. The company had been driven towards more expensive MGO fuel before it could test the viability of alternative compliance methods. LNG was a “chicken and egg” syndrome where there was still debate about the regulations, while exhaust scrubber technology was “only just about ready” less than three months before the rules take effect.

"It's very puzzling and irritating to see that we are being forced into a date with no real look at the impact," he said. “We should have been given a couple of years to look at retrofitting, not just MGO. By amending the calendar to have a more rational approach, we could have mitigated economy and ecology. Now we are looking at one way, one date and the consequences don’t matter. Those two years could have been used to finalize the job rather than sticking to the date at whatever the cost.”

Canadian Shipowners Association president Robert Lewis-Manning agreed that regulations frequently did not adequately represent short sea operators. “Our sector often goes unnoticed and then we have to work even harder to correct the situation – yet we are the most energy efficient mode, have the smallest carbon footprint and offer less congestion,” he claimed. He called for a special sub-committee or working group to be formed at the IMO, together with dedicated representation within the International Chamber of Shipping.

Safety: putting faith in people
The growing trend to think beyond technical safety solutions was explored in a panel session on the human element. P&O Ferries fleet director John Garner – noting that 80% of maritime incidents were due to human error – explained how the company used Maritime Resource Management training to support a safety culture based on changing attitudes and behavior through leadership and teamwork across all levels of crew and shore staff.

“The emphasis is on improving operational control – it’s not about more bulkheads to stop a ship sinking, but how to avoid or mitigate an incident by exerting our experience and competence,” he pointed out.

Darren Johnston, safety and security director at conference hosts BC Ferries, outlined the basis of the company’s SailSafe initiative developed in cooperation with the BC Ferry & Marine Workers’ Union. “We must stop obsessing about the negative and focus on the positive by exploring why things go right – and that’s about 90% of the time,” he asserted.

“People are not the problem but the solution – it’s about their emotional intelligence, practical wisdom and ability to function in a world where the rules may be behind the pace of progress. Trusting them to instinctively do the right thing needs a willingness to accept that making mistakes is human, but that’s how you learn so long as you are on guard to correct them.”

Gas alternative: figures fuel LNG debate
The economic and environmental case for LNG-fuelled ferries was detailed by John Hatley, VP ship power for Wartsila North America, who argued that LNG was not only the cleanest burning fuel but also provided compelling cost savings with a five-year payback on retrofits and prices almost 50% below diesel. As for alternative methods of ECA 0.1% sulphur compliance, he claimed scrubbers had CAPEX, OPEX, space and weight implications, while warning that distillate fuel might become even more expensive: “In September 2012 when the sulphur limit went to 1%, bunker prices rose 40%, so we may see similar distortion of the market next January.”

Payback was a major issue for George Capacci, responsible for operations and construction at Washington State Ferries, which he said was considering LNG retrofits to six diesel-powered vessels to save 40-50% on fuel costs. After more than four years of studies, the company was now awaiting U.S. Coast Guard approval ahead of a planned one-ship pilot conversion. However, the vessels were already between 30-35 years old and the return on investment was a potential inhibiting factor. Meanwhile the company was researching hybrid, electric, solar and hydrogen options as well as evaluating LNG for newbuilds.

Anders Orgard Hansen, managing director and owner of Denmark’s OSK ShipTech marine consultancy, reported on a 600-passenger, 160-car ferry about to enter service to the CO2 neutral Danish island of Samso. Initially to be powered by LNG supplied by Q8, the ferry will in future be fuelled by liquefied biogas produced from the island’s household and farm waste.

Paivi Haikkola, R&D manager at Finland’s Deltamarin, outlined the company’s study of 13 LNG tank arrangements. Two front-runners emerged in the light of current rules and regulations, which she noted “are changing at quite a pace”. An aft open deck layout was commended for ease of bunkering and good ventilation despite potential drawbacks such as reduced capacity and the effects on stability and hull performance. A vertical tank installation in the aft part of the vessel did not work for small ferries but was considered one of the best solutions for cruise-size tonnage.

Viability: the outlook for ro-pax shipping
How will car ferry operators respond to an age of declining car ownership? The question was asked by Brittany Ferries deputy MD Christophe Mathieu during a panel debate on the ro-pax sector’s future. He said the company carried 2.5 million passengers a year of which 85% were British tourists. “The lifespan of a ship from design to end of service is 35 years but we are in a very fast changing market,” he warned. “In large European cities most young people don’t own a car and also community car sharing is becoming more common. Fewer people will own a car and they might be more inclined to fly, so we have to understand that life could become completely different and require a change in our marketing targets.”

Meanwhile the trend towards battery-powered cars presented an onboard fire risk according to DNV GL passenger ship director Hans Siewers, who noted, “Such fires have happened and can be very serious. The regulations are not totally prepared. The IMO is are moving forward but not quickly enough - it’s slower than developments in the motor industry.”

In general, panellists conveyed optimism about the sector’s prospects. John Waterhouse, chief concept engineer at Seattle’s Elliott Bay Design Group, observed: “In the US we have 190 ferry operators, 709 vessels – including 263 ro-pax – and 350 routes carrying 106 million passengers per year compared with 800 million by air. It’s fairly substantial. We are seeing increasing road congestion so this represents an opportunity to move goods and people more efficiently.”

Asked about the shape of ships to come, MD Hakan Enlund of Finland’s Rauma Marine Constructions insisted: “Big ships have come to stay because it’s all about energy consumption per unit carried and big ships are more efficient.”
 
State-owned ferries: governance & subsidies
Panellists in a session on state-owned ferry companies were unanimous that politicians should steer clear of involvement in day-to-day operations.

John Steen-Mikkelsen, CEO of Denmark’s Danske Færger – hosts for the 2015 Interferry conference in Copenhagen – said the role of politicians should stop at setting the tender requirements. He was happy with a system where the government was not the full owner, but conceded that subsidies were essential to fund lifeline services. “Otherwise you wouldn’t have that late night departure with only a few people on board - we might run only half of those trips,” he admitted.

Alan Klanac, CEO of Croatian operator Jadrolinija, agreed but also stressed the need to remain business focused, observing: “If you want to run a ferry service on a government contract, you have to do it from a commercial perspective with a lean operation. You’ll lose the competitive edge if you think you can allow for market forces purely through subsidies.”

Canada’s Gordon Macatee, the BC ferry commissioner and regulator of BC Ferries, defined the company as quasi-private, still owned by the state but, since reforms in 2003, with only two government representatives on the board. This allowed the freedom to make independent commercial decisions. “In the past, the ability to make decisions depended on how far away the next election was,” he noted. Now there was ‘light-handed legislation’ in the form of a price cap, but within this limit the company could set route tariffs according to market conditions. Three of the 25 routes were commercially viable. He doubted that the required fare levels for the other routes would be sustainable without subsidies, which were declining but entirely supported the capital expenditure program.

Former Washington State Ferries director David Moseley said only two or three of the company’s ten routes could fully support their operating costs without subsidies, which had totaled $1.3 billion over the past 14 years because ferries are regarded as part of the state’s transport and highways infrastructure. Fares accounted for 70% of the company’s overall $450 million annual budget, while the state aid supported capex projects.

Joachim Ronnevik, senior advisor at the Norwegian Public Roads Administration, summarized the impact of the tendering process launched in 2005 – competition but consolidation, more environmentally friendly requirements and, in some cases, too much risk assigned to operators. The government viewed it very important to maintain services even if only for a single fish processing plant if this was essential to regional survival.

Boosting onboard spending: the retail revolution
A former global sales manager at retail giant IKEA, now head of group onboard services for the 40 vessels at Sweden’s Stena Line, explained how the operator had made shopping a reason to travel – prompting a dramatic revenue increase.

Per Ola Jonnerheim said research had shown their customers liked a treat but money could be tight, so prices had to be more affordable. The answer was to create the Bordershop outlet concept. The supplier base for the 10,000 products stocked was slashed to enable volume purchasing discounts, which resulted in retail price reductions of 20%. “We got 25% more customers and onboard sales went up 50%,” he revealed. “That’s a lot of happy customers – and happy customers come back.” Special promotions also played their part – wine sales rose by 70% after the company gave away 50,000 bottles of wine.

BC Ferries VP customer services Corinne Storey said the company had shifted from a small gift shop offering when tourism dipped after the 9/11 outrage in 2001. The prime market became local people, particularly women over 35 years old. The ships were marketed as the place to shop for casual west coast clothing that could not be bought in stores ashore. Monthly promotions based on free gifts from suppliers produced a 45% surge in revenue, which now totaled more than $17 million per year. With expansion into menswear, baby wear and youth ranges, retail income had become a key component of funding ship upgrades – including much larger onboard shops – and the fleet renewal program.

The importance of the retail environment was underlined by Steve Hankinson, VP operations at the Vancouver Airport Authority, who explained: “We are trying to break the concept of a lousy experience in airports. We take a ‘speed up, ease up’ approach with terminal designs that reflect geographical themes. We give passengers more time and a sense of stillness and peace – and they give us more money.”

Brazil & the Caribbean: opportunity knocks
The 2016 Olympic Games in Rio de Janeiro will require a 50-73% capacity increase on key commuter ferry routes operated in the state by CCR Barcas – already one of the world’s top five carriers with 29 million passengers per year. Tiago Esteves Terra de Sa, responsible for planning the company’s terminal operations and transport solutions, said that, following a $150 million investment in 22 catamarans, the company was now looking for a commercial partner to invest in new terminals.

Studies for a regional fast ferry service in the southern Caribbean were reviewed by Adrian Beharry, senior maritime lecturer at the University of Trinidad & Tobago. A task force had been set up in 2008 to consider the potential for a public-private partnership serving agricultural, manufacturing and tourism markets. Their 2011 final report found that the prevailing levels of passengers and cargo were too low to support a regular service with the size of vessel required to combat waves of up to four meters and seasonal hurricane conditions. “However, latent demand is known to exist and the conclusion was that a service could be viable in three to five years,” said Beharry.

In contrast, Florida-based travel and tourism consultant Bruce Nierenberg insisted that now was the time to get involved in an untapped tourist market – with an overnight ferry service from the US to Caribbean destinations such as Cancun in Mexico and Cuba, where he said travel restrictions were likely to be lifted in the next 18 months.

“This is an operationally viable opportunity and it’s absurd that no-one is taking advantage of it,” he suggested. “Some 15 million American tourists per year currently have no choice but to fly to the Caribbean. Bear in mind that 37% of people don’t like to fly. Added to that, many of these people have second homes out there, so there is a year-round season.”

The required vessel would be 25-40,000 metric tons, with a 10-15 knot service speed, a passenger capacity of 1,500 and a vehicle deck with a minimum of 1,000 lane meters. Round trip ticket prices would be 25-40% lower than air travel, starting at $295 in a cabin and $195 in a reclining seat. The fares would be inclusive of food and entertainment because, as Nierenberg pointed out: “Americans understand the cruise ship concept – to them a ferry takes you to Staten Island. If you compare the economics with operations in other parts of the world, you’ll wonder why you are not already doing it.”
 

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