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Oil Supply

Major Oil Price Rise Forecast

The world is drawing down its oil reserves at an unprecedented rate and even assuming no growth in demand it is likely that that by 2010 oil supply will be constrained by global production capacity and oil will permanently cease to be abundant. Supply and demand will be forced to balance - but at a price. Then, like during the oil shocks of the 1970’s, prices could double and treble within two or three years as the world changes from oil abundance to oil scarcity. The world is facing a future of major oil price increases which will occur sooner than many people believe. These are amongst the conclusions of The World Oil Supply Report, an important new study published today by energy analysts Douglas-Westwood. Oil production to peak soon The overall conclusion of the extensive research carried out for this report, into all potential sources of oil, is that the world’s known and estimated ‘yet to find’ reserves cannot satisfy even the present level of production of some 74 million barrels per day beyond 2022. Any growth in global economic activity only serves to increase demand and bring forward the peak year. 1% demand growth brings the year to 2016, when production is expected to peak at around 83 million barrels per day; with 2% growth, peak production of 87 million barrels per day occurs in 2011, and with 3% growth, peak production of 87 million barrels per day occurs in 2006.


OPEC's Indonesia Victim of Supply Cuts-Trade

OPEC member Indonesia has reportedly become a victim of the very oil supply cuts it helped to shape, as it has tendered to buy Saudi Arabian, Iranian and Iraqi crude because its normal supply has been cut under the latest OPEC accord to boost oil prices.


Call on OPEC Oil Increasing Say IEA

International Energy Agency (IEA) reports call on 'OPEC crude & stock change' rising IEA reports that global oil supply increased by 0.6 mbd to 91.0 mbd in April, 3.9 mbd above last year. Higher Iraqi, Nigerian and Libyan supplies lifted OPEC production by 0.41 mbd, to 31.85 mbd. The ‘call on OPEC crude and stock change’ is raised by 0.2 mbd to 30.9 mbd for 3Q12 and by 0.4 mbd to 30.7 mbd for 4Q12, with the 2012 average now 30.3 mbd.


Eni, Rosneft Sign Oil Supplies Agreement

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Rosneft’s President and Chairman of the Management Board, Igor Sechin, and Eni’s CEO, Paolo Scaroni, in the presence of the Russian President, Vladimir Putin, and Italy’s Prime Minister, Enrico Letta, has signed a term sheet on mutual crude oil supplies and a heads of agreement on joint participation and investments in logistic and commercial activities within the hydrocarbons sector. Rosneft will supply crude oil to PCK Schwedt refinery in Germany and Česká


U.S. Federal Court Bars OPEC From Price Fixing

A U.S. federal court reportedly has granted a one-year injunction barring oil producer group OPEC from fixing prices. Prewitt Enterprises won a civil anti-trust case in an Alabama court, accusing the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) of conspiring to fix oil prices through oil supply agreements. OPEC is for the next year "restrained from entering any agreements among themselves or with third parties to raise, lower


Irene SL Release by Somali Pirates

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INTERTANKO is delighted that the Irene SL has been released by the Somali pirates who hijacked this tanker and her 2m barrel oil cargo in February, and that Master, officers and crew are in good health after 58 days in captivity – especially after 12 days being used as a pirate mothership. At the time INTERTANKO’s Managing Director Joe Angelo remarked that the Irene SL hijacking marked a significant shift in Somali piracy


Auramarine Ballast Water Treatment Systems

Photo courtesy Auramarine

Auramarine Ltd, manufacturer of heavy fuel oil supply systems and other auxiliary units for marine and power station engines, is now applying its wide-ranging experience in liquid flows to a new sector that benefits the environment. Auramarine is bringing out Auramarine Crystal Ballast, Ballast Water Treatment System (BWTS). Due to technological innovations featured in this system, it is energy-efficient, compact and easy to install


Will Oil Continue Heading Up?

"Due to increasing demand and reducing reserves, oil prices currently at $40 are likely to soon enter a period of sustained rises resulting in a need to massively develop natural gas and renewable energy resources" according to John Westwood of energy analysts Douglas-Westwood. "Oil reserves are depleting and demand growing. Recent increases in oil demand from China, for example, are likely to accelerate. The average American consumes 25 times as much oil as the average Chinese yet China


Shale Adds Up to Make US World's Largest Oil Supplier

U.S. is the world's largest producer of oil in 2013, according to data presented at PIRA Energy Group's recent Retainer Client Seminar held in New York City recently. The U.S. has surged to be the world's lead oil supplier because of growth in shale oil. Shale crude and condensate production at 2.5 MMB/D in 2013 is now slightly over one-third of total U.S. crude production, and shale NGL at 1.2 MMB/D is almost half of total Natural Gas Liquids (NGL's).


US Gulf Coast Crude Oil Import Shake-up: Analysis

VLCC File photo

The increase in domestic crude oil production is widely reported to have flipped US import requirements on their heads. While this holds true for light/sweet crude oil producers, there appears to be even more dependence on heavier/sourer crude oil suppliers in spite of the shale oil boom, reports Poten & Partners in their recent 'Poten Tanker Opinion'. With traditional light/sweet suppliers like West Africa and Europe out of the fray


BIMCO: Tanker Market is Full of Surprises

Photo courtesy of BIMCO

Tanker Shipping: Crude oil tankers out-perform their oil product peers in a market full of surprises Demand Some time ago, BIMCO expected the first signs of a solid recovery in the oil tanker industry to appear in the product tanker market


CFTC Shows US Commodity Manipulation Laws Have Teeth

By extracting a $13 million penalty and imposing tough restrictions on future oil trading by Arcadia and others, the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) this week sent a powerful signal that laws against market manipulation still have teeth.


Oil Falls Towards $111 on Libya Ports Deal

Oil fell towards $111 a barrel on Wednesday, its lowest in almost three weeks, on a possible substantial recovery in Libyan exports after rebels said they would reopen two oil terminals. Libyan rebels blockading eastern oil ports have agreed to reopen the remaining two terminals at Es Sider and


IEA: Unconventional Oil Revolution to Spread by End of Decade

Photo courtesy of IEA

IEA five-year oil market outlook also sees global demand growth losing momentum The IEA’s Medium-Term Oil Market Report 2014 will be officially launched during a Press webinar on Tuesday, June 17, 2014, 11 a.m. Paris time. In addition


Oil Prices Climb Again Amid Escalating Violence In Iraq

  Crude oil prices rose to new nine-month highs on Friday as concerns persisted that an insurgency in Iraq could disrupt oil exports from the second-largest OPEC producer. Grand Ayatollah Ali al-Sistani, the highest religious authority for Shi'ites


Brent Climbs Toward $115 on Iraq Crisis

Brent crude climbed to a nine-month high near $115 a barrel on Friday, as supply disruption fears took centre stage after the United States threatened military action in Iraq against Sunni Islamist militants who are pushing on towards Baghdad.


Opinion: Oil Market Risks Grow as Chaos Spreads

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Iran, Syria, Sudan, Libya, Nigeria and now Iraq: the crude oil market has weathered a long list of actual and threatened supply shocks with remarkable calm. According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), unplanned disruptions have removed around 2


Floating Production System Orders Outlook

Projected Growth Global Natural Gas Demand  (Quadrillion Btu)

An EPC contract for a production unit can easily exceed $1 billion – and $3 billion for an FPSO has recently been breached.  Overall, this is a $20 to $30 billion annual market.  But, as described below, the sector is hitting some headwinds that could impact future business


Shell Marine Contracted to Lubricate MSC Ships

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Amongst the latest listing of US Department of Defense, Navy, contracts Shell Marine Products US, Houston, Texas, is being awarded a $14,953,192 modification under a previously awarded indefinite-delivery/indefinite-quantity contract (N00033-13-D-8020). Details as follows:


Canada To Keep Keystone XL Issue Alive With White House

Keystone pipeline

  Far from giving up on the Keystone XL pipeline to the United States, Finance Minister Joe Oliver said on Tuesday Canadawould keep the issue alive with the Obama administration despite a further delay of the U.S. decision on whether to approve it.


Obama Stalls Drilling On Federal Lands: Kemp

President  Barack Obama

  The White House likes to claim a share of the credit for the drilling revolution that has transformed North America's energy production and security. Except the revolution has largely taken place on private rather than public land


North Sea: Potential VLCC Moves to South Korea

North Sea Forties crude differentials were unchanged on Wednesday in very quiet pre-Easter trade, with dealers still watching two potential VLCC shipments to Asia and the stuttering return of Libyan oil supplies. A strong early rally in flat-price Brent futures also kept traders on the sidelines


Shale Revolution Reverses Global Energy Flow

Source: US Energy Information Administration (EIA), JKEMP

The United States has replaced OPEC as the marginal petroleum supplier to the world thanks to the shale revolution and improvements in automotive fuel efficiency. Net U.S. imports of crude and products have halved over the last five years


UPDATE: After Deal, Libya's Ports Prep to Load Oil Tankers

* Hariga, Zueitina ports expected to open first * Deal calls for more talks on larger terminals (Adds quotes, colour, background, PVS TRIPOLI) ZUEITINA PORT, Libya/TRIPOLI, April 7  - Libya's Zueitina oil port prepared on Monday to load crude into tankers after the government


Vanishing Volatility Signals Oil Market Shift

Source: Reuters / J. Kemp

The oil market has rarely been so quiet. Benchmark Brent has traded in a narrow range of $5 either side of $110 per barrel since the summer of 2012. Price volatility has fallen to some of the lowest levels since crude futures markets were established in the early 1980s.  






 
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