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Oil Supply

Major Oil Price Rise Forecast

The world is drawing down its oil reserves at an unprecedented rate and even assuming no growth in demand it is likely that that by 2010 oil supply will be constrained by global production capacity and oil will permanently cease to be abundant. Supply and demand will be forced to balance - but at a price. Then, like during the oil shocks of the 1970’s, prices could double and treble within two or three years as the world changes from oil abundance to oil scarcity. The world is facing a future of major oil price increases which will occur sooner than many people believe. These are amongst the conclusions of The World Oil Supply Report, an important new study published today by energy analysts Douglas-Westwood. Oil production to peak soon The overall conclusion of the extensive research carried out for this report, into all potential sources of oil, is that the world’s known and estimated ‘yet to find’ reserves cannot satisfy even the present level of production of some 74 million barrels per day beyond 2022. Any growth in global economic activity only serves to increase demand and bring forward the peak year. 1% demand growth brings the year to 2016, when production is expected to peak at around 83 million barrels per day; with 2% growth, peak production of 87 million barrels per day occurs in 2011, and with 3% growth, peak production of 87 million barrels per day occurs in 2006.


OPEC's Indonesia Victim of Supply Cuts-Trade

OPEC member Indonesia has reportedly become a victim of the very oil supply cuts it helped to shape, as it has tendered to buy Saudi Arabian, Iranian and Iraqi crude because its normal supply has been cut under the latest OPEC accord to boost oil prices.


U.S. Federal Court Bars OPEC From Price Fixing

A U.S. federal court reportedly has granted a one-year injunction barring oil producer group OPEC from fixing prices. Prewitt Enterprises won a civil anti-trust case in an Alabama court, accusing the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) of conspiring to fix oil prices through oil supply agreements. OPEC is for the next year "restrained from entering any agreements among themselves or with third parties to raise, lower


Irene SL Release by Somali Pirates

INTERTANKO.bmp

INTERTANKO is delighted that the Irene SL has been released by the Somali pirates who hijacked this tanker and her 2m barrel oil cargo in February, and that Master, officers and crew are in good health after 58 days in captivity – especially after 12 days being used as a pirate mothership. At the time INTERTANKO’s Managing Director Joe Angelo remarked that the Irene SL hijacking marked a significant shift in Somali piracy


Call on OPEC Oil Increasing Say IEA

International Energy Agency (IEA) reports call on 'OPEC crude & stock change' rising IEA reports that global oil supply increased by 0.6 mbd to 91.0 mbd in April, 3.9 mbd above last year. Higher Iraqi, Nigerian and Libyan supplies lifted OPEC production by 0.41 mbd, to 31.85 mbd. The ‘call on OPEC crude and stock change’ is raised by 0.2 mbd to 30.9 mbd for 3Q12 and by 0.4 mbd to 30.7 mbd for 4Q12, with the 2012 average now 30.3 mbd.


Eni, Rosneft Sign Oil Supplies Agreement

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Rosneft’s President and Chairman of the Management Board, Igor Sechin, and Eni’s CEO, Paolo Scaroni, in the presence of the Russian President, Vladimir Putin, and Italy’s Prime Minister, Enrico Letta, has signed a term sheet on mutual crude oil supplies and a heads of agreement on joint participation and investments in logistic and commercial activities within the hydrocarbons sector. Rosneft will supply crude oil to PCK Schwedt refinery in Germany and Česká


Tanker Shortage To Squeeze Northeast's Oil Supply

A shortage of U.S. oil tankers will cut sharply into Northeast heating oil and gasoline supplies next month and will add to upward price pressure to refined products through the winter, oil traders and brokers said. The number of domestic vessels used to haul petroleum products to New York Harbor and New England consumer hubs will be reduced by about a third this winter compared to last year, said a source familiar with vessel traffic.


Will Oil Continue Heading Up?

"Due to increasing demand and reducing reserves, oil prices currently at $40 are likely to soon enter a period of sustained rises resulting in a need to massively develop natural gas and renewable energy resources" according to John Westwood of energy analysts Douglas-Westwood. "Oil reserves are depleting and demand growing. Recent increases in oil demand from China, for example, are likely to accelerate. The average American consumes 25 times as much oil as the average Chinese yet China


Auramarine Ballast Water Treatment Systems

Photo courtesy Auramarine

Auramarine Ltd, manufacturer of heavy fuel oil supply systems and other auxiliary units for marine and power station engines, is now applying its wide-ranging experience in liquid flows to a new sector that benefits the environment. Auramarine is bringing out Auramarine Crystal Ballast, Ballast Water Treatment System (BWTS). Due to technological innovations featured in this system, it is energy-efficient, compact and easy to install


Shale Adds Up to Make US World's Largest Oil Supplier

U.S. is the world's largest producer of oil in 2013, according to data presented at PIRA Energy Group's recent Retainer Client Seminar held in New York City recently. The U.S. has surged to be the world's lead oil supplier because of growth in shale oil. Shale crude and condensate production at 2.5 MMB/D in 2013 is now slightly over one-third of total U.S. crude production, and shale NGL at 1.2 MMB/D is almost half of total Natural Gas Liquids (NGL's).


Vanishing Volatility Signals Oil Market Shift

Source: Reuters / J. Kemp

The oil market has rarely been so quiet. Benchmark Brent has traded in a narrow range of $5 either side of $110 per barrel since the summer of 2012. Price volatility has fallen to some of the lowest levels since crude futures markets were established in the early 1980s.  


UPDATE: After Deal, Libya's Ports Prep to Load Oil Tankers

* Hariga, Zueitina ports expected to open first * Deal calls for more talks on larger terminals (Adds quotes, colour, background, PVS TRIPOLI) ZUEITINA PORT, Libya/TRIPOLI, April 7  - Libya's Zueitina oil port prepared on Monday to load crude into tankers after the government


Shale Revolution Reverses Global Energy Flow

Source: US Energy Information Administration (EIA), JKEMP

The United States has replaced OPEC as the marginal petroleum supplier to the world thanks to the shale revolution and improvements in automotive fuel efficiency. Net U.S. imports of crude and products have halved over the last five years


North Sea: Potential VLCC Moves to South Korea

North Sea Forties crude differentials were unchanged on Wednesday in very quiet pre-Easter trade, with dealers still watching two potential VLCC shipments to Asia and the stuttering return of Libyan oil supplies. A strong early rally in flat-price Brent futures also kept traders on the sidelines


Dual Fuel LNG Carriers to be Built in China

class contract signing ceremony for APLNG 6LNG ships

Lloyd’s Register (LR) has signed the classification contract for six 174,000 m3 liquefied natural gas (LNG) tankers to be built by Hudong Zhonghua Shipbuilding (Group) Co. Ltd. When delivered, the ships will load LNG in Gladstone, Australia for a number of Chinese import terminals -


Market Report Shows Oil Prices Bullish

Burgeoning momentum to own oil seems poised to push oil prices higher for now. On the week, U.S commercial stocks built led by crude, while Japanese crude stocks drew strongly, according to a market report by NYC-based PIRA Energy Group. Extracts from the report follow: Bullish Oil Prices


Siemens: Gigantic Gear Unit Technology

 Ralf Meyersieck is with the Mechanical Drives business unit of Siemens AG. www.siemens.de/navilus

Gigantic multi-engine ship’s gearboxes in the world’s biggest ferry boat Gigantic records are set by land, sea and air. For them to be set, modern high-tech solutions are needed that in the right combination make the impossible possible


USCG Overseas Damaged Vessel Transport in GoM

USCG photo

The Coast Guard and state and local authorities began working to ensure the safe transport of two troubled vessels being towed to a Brownsville scrap yard after one began listing into the other Thursday. At approximately 8 a.m. Thursday, the captain of the tug with the vessels in tow called Coast


Gulf Naval Commanders Identify Security Challenges

Naval Patrol Boats: Image courtesy of RN

At the recent Arabian Gulf Naval Commanders (GCC) conference in Abu Dahbi regional issues were discussed against a background understanding that the location of the Gulf creates a number of security challenges in the maritime domain, including the disruption of the flow of goods & services and


Douglas Westwood: Shale is no Threat to Deepwater

Prodigious US shale oil production is often treated as a threat to deepwater.   Won’t all this oil swamp demand? Many investment banks and government agencies forecasting oil markets feel that it could. The evidence, however, suggests differently


Tanker Market Outlook: Emerging Signs of Recovery Says New Analysis

VLCC: Photo CCL

As we start 2014, signs of a recovery are starting to emerge.  On the back of lower energy costs, the US economy is set to grow and unemployment levels have been falling, reads the '2014-2018 Tanker Market Outlook' by McQuilling Services. Tanker Profile


The FLNG Market is Poised for Growth

Amanda Tay

Significant Growth in FLNG Market as Export Projects Gain Traction; Natural Gas to Lead Energy Demand There are many different views on the future of energy supplies, but strong agreement in two areas; over the next 25 years or so population growth and GDP growth in the developing economies


Brent Slips Below $109 as Severe Winter Eases

By Manash Goswami, Reuters Brent crude futures slipped on Friday below $109 a barrel on expectations demand growth will slow as severe winter weather eases, with supply worries keeping the losses in check for now. A severe winter chill in the United States and Europe and supply disruption


U.S. refiners oppose easing crude export limits

Four U.S. oil refiners, trying to counter growing calls to lift the nation's ban on most crude oil exports, have launched the first major lobbying effort to keep abundant U.S. oil supplies from being sold overseas. Rising U.S. shale oil production has opened the door to a possible revision of


Libya's Ports Prepare to Load Oil Tankers

 Hariga, Zueitina ports expected to open first  Deal calls for more talks on larger terminals (Adds context, background, oil prices) Libya's Zueitina oil port prepared on Monday to load crude on tankers after the government reached a deal with rebels to reopen four


 
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